Boston University
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 84.5423Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 16- 7 211 A Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 21-14 214 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 5- 9 217 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 11- 8 221 A Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 5-17 228 A Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 19- 6 307 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 11-14 310 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 8-10 314 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 12-10 317 H Cornell Ivy League ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-12 321 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 8-13 328 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 78.8) 16- 3 404 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 5-16 411 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 10-11 415 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 15-10 418 A Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 84.0) 13- 4 423 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 8-12 426 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 7-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H New Hampshire 16- 7 9 10 -1.05
211 A Stonehill 21-14 7 5 + 2.33
214 A Fairfield 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.49
217 H Marist 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.42
221 A Yale 5-17 -12 -9 - -3.27
228 A Stetson 19- 6 13 8 ++ 5.37
307 H Army 11-14 -3 -6 + 2.54
310 H Brown 8-10 -2 -3 1.30
314 H Lafayette 12-10 2 7 -- -4.81
317 H Cornell 6-12 -6 -5 -1.16
321 A Loyola (MD) 8-13 -5 -6 1.36
328 H American 16- 3 13 7 ++ 5.93
404 A Navy 5-16 -11 -10 -1.15
411 H Lehigh 10-11 -1 6 --- -6.55
415 H Colgate 15-10 5 5 0.43
418 A Bucknell 13- 4 9 -1 +++ 9.85
423 A Holy Cross 8-12 -4 0 - -3.56
426 A Loyola (MD) 7-13 -6 -6 0.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Lehigh 10-11 -1 6 --- -6.55 217 H Marist 11- 8 3 8 -- -5.42 314 H Lafayette 12-10 2 7 -- -4.81 214 A Fairfield 5- 9 -4 -2 - -2.49 221 A Yale 5-17 -12 -9 - -3.27 423 A Holy Cross 8-12 -4 0 - -3.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Bucknell 13- 4 9 -1 +++ 9.85 228 A Stetson 19- 6 13 8 ++ 5.37 328 H American 16- 3 13 7 ++ 5.93 211 A Stonehill 21-14 7 5 + 2.33 307 H Army 11-14 -3 -6 + 2.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 16- 7 -24.04 16.13 -1.37 0.96 28.41
0 A Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 21-14 -21.40 18.77 1.37 0.96 38.77
0 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 5- 9 -15.21 24.95 1.37 0.96 -6.66
0 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 11- 8 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 0.96 31.54
0 A Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 5-17 -8.00 32.17 1.37 0.96 -3.19
0 A Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 19- 6 -24.36 15.81 1.37 0.96 33.07
0 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 11-14 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.96 -4.72
0 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 8-10 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 0.96 -5.80
0 H Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 12-10 -20.80 19.36 -1.37 0.96 34.64
0 H Cornell ( 9- 6, 90.7) 6-12 -9.15 31.02 -1.37 0.96 -5.06
0 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 8-13 -10.37 29.80 1.37 0.96 -4.33
0 H American ( 4-12, 78.8) 16- 3 -21.06 19.11 -1.37 0.96 34.14
0 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 5-16 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.96 -2.65
0 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 10-11 -19.54 20.63 -1.37 0.96 -10.06
0 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 15-10 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 0.96 38.96
0 A Bucknell (10- 7, 84.0) 13- 4 -15.88 24.29 1.37 0.96 49.39
0 A Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 8-12 -16.29 23.88 1.37 0.96 -7.18
0 A Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 7-13 -10.37 29.80 1.37 0.96 -4.33
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234.93
|
winning pts = 288.9186 losing points = -53.9905
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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